Recent Peer-Reviewed Publications

Under Review

  • McGraw,M.C., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, R.P. Clancy, and C.M. Bitz: Understanding the Forecast Skill of Rapid Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Subseasonal Timescales, in review J. Climate .
  • Roach, L.A., I. Eisenman, T.J. Wagner, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, and C.M. Bitz: Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of Antarctic sea ice due to insolation, in review Nature Geosciences .

2021

  • Hahn, L.C., K.C. Armour, M.D. Zelinka, C.M. Bitz, and A. Donohoe, 2021: Contributions to polar amplification in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, Frontiers in Earth Sciences, doi:10.3389/feart.2021.710036> .
  • Director, H.M., Raftery, A.E., and Bitz, C.M., 2021: Probabilistic Forecasting of the Arctic Sea Ice Edge with Contour Modeling, Annals of Applied Statistics, 15(2) , 711-726, doi:10.1214/20-AOAS1405> .
  • Gao, P.A., H.M. Directory, C.M. Bitz, and A.E. Raftery, 2021: Probabilistic forecasts of Arctic sea ice thickness, J. Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, in press.
  • Clancy, R., Bitz, C.M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., McGraw, M.C., and Cavallo, S., 2021: Drivers of asymmetric patterns in the atmosphere and sea ice during Arctic cyclones. in press Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0093.1
  • Clancy, R., Bitz, C.M., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2021: The influence of ENSO on Arctic sea ice in large ensembles and observations. in press Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0958.1.
  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Donohoe, A., Roach, L., DuVivier, A., and Bitz, C.M., 2021: High-frequency sea ice variability in observations and models, Geophysical Research Letters, e2020GL092356 , doi:10.1029/2020GL092356.
  • Pauling, A. G., M. Bushuk, and C. M. Bitz, 2021: Robust inter-hemispheric asymmetry in the response to symmetric volcanic forcing in model large ensembles, Geophysical Research Letters, e2021GL092558, doi:10.1029/2021GL092558.
  • Pauling, A. G. and C. M. Bitz, 2021: Arctic Sea Ice Response to Flooding of the Snow Layer in Future Warming Scenarios, Earth's Future, e2021EF002136, doi:10.1029/2021EF002136 .
  • MacGregor, J., et al., inc. (Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.), 2021: The scientific legacy of NASA's Operation IceBridge, submitted to Reviews of Geophysics. e2020RG000712 , doi:10.1029/2020RG000712
  • Zhang, Y., Bitz, C.M., Anderson, J., Collins, N., Hoar, T., Reader, K., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2021: Estimating Parameters in a Sea Ice Model using an Ensemble Kalman Filter, The Cryosphere 15, 1277-1284 , doi:10.5194/tc-15-1277-2021 .
  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Roach, L.A., Donohoe, A., and Ding, Q., 2021: Impact of winds and Southern Ocean SSTs on Antarctic sea ice trends and variability. Journal of Climate 34, 3: 949-965. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0386.1
  • Kageyama, M., Sime, L. C. et al. (inc. C.M. Bitz), 2021: A multi-model CMIP6 study of Arctic sea ice at 127ka: Sea ice data compilation and model differences, Climate of the Past.17 : 37-62. doi:10.5194/cp-17-37-2021.
  • Li, X., W. Cai, et al.(inc. C.M. Bitz), 2021: Tropical teleconnection impacts on Antarctic climate changes, Nature Rev. Earth Environ. 2, 680-698, doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00204-5 .

2020

  • Donohoe, A., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Schweiger, A., and Rasch, P., 2020: The Effect of Atmospheric Transmissivity on Model and Observational Estimates of the Sea Ice Albedo Feedback Journal of Climate, 33, 13: 5743-5765. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0674.1
  • Bushuk, M., Winton, M., Bonan, D., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and Delworth, T., 2020: A mechanism for the Arctic sea ice spring predictability barrier. Geophysical Research Letters, 2020GL088335, doi:10.1029/2020GL088335.
  • Goursaud, S., M. Holloway, L. Sime, E. Wolff, P, Valdes, E. J. Steig, and A. G. Pauling, 2020: Antarctic Ice Sheet elevation impacts on water isotope recprds during the Last Interglacial. Geophysical Research Letters, 47: e2020GL091412. doi:0.1029/2020GL091412.
  • Song, Y., Behrangi, A., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2020: Assessment of Satellite and Reanalysis Precipitation Estimates over Arctic Sea Ice. Geophysical Research Letters, L088970, doi:10.1029/2020GL088970.
  • Hahn, L.C., Armour, K.C., Battisti, D.S., Donohoe, A., Pauling, A.G., and Bitz, C.M., 2020: Antarctic Elevation Drives Hemispheric Asymmetry in Polar Lapse Rate Climatology and Feedback. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, doi:10.1029/20202GL088965.
  • Guarino, M., Sime, L.C., Schröeder, D. et al. (inc. C.M. Bitz), 2020: Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss. Nat. Clim. Chang. 10, 928–932. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0865-2.
  • Horvat, C., Flocco, D., Rees Jones, D.W., Roach, L., and Golden, K.M., 2020: The effect of melt pond geometry on the distribution of solar energy under first‐year sea ice, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL085956.
  • Abrahamsen, E.P., Barreira, S, C.M. Bitz, et al., 2020: Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (8), S287-S320.
  • Molnár, P.K., Bitz, C.M., Holland, M.M., Kay, J.E., Penk, S.R., Amstrup, S.C. 2020: Fasting season length sets temporal limits for global polar bear persistence. Nature Climate Change, 10 (8), 732-738. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0818-9
  • Blockley, E., Vancoppenolle, M., Hunke, E., Bitz, C., Feltham, D., Lemieux, J.F., et al, 2020: The future of sea ice modeling: where do we go from here? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (8), E1304-E1311.
  • Barnes, R., et al (inc. C. Bitz) 2020: VPLanet: The Virtual Planet Simulator, Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific. PASP-100817. doi:10.1088/1538-3873/ab3ce8/meta.
  • Bracegirdle, T.J., Krinner, G., Tonelli, M., Haumann, F. A., Naughten, K.A., Rackow, T., Roach, L.A., and Wainer, I. 2020: Twenty first century changes in Antarctic and Southern Ocean surface climate in CMIP6, Atmospheric Science Letters, 21, doi:10.1002/asl.984.
  • Community, SIMIP (inc. L.A. Roach), 2020: Arctic sea ice in CMIP6. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL086749.
  • Horvat, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. and Petty, A., 2020: Observing waves in sea ice with ICESat-2, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2020GL087629.
  • Roach, L.A., Dörr, J., Holmes, C.R., Massonnet, F., Blockley, E.W., Notz, D., Rackow, T., Raphael, M.N., O'Farrell, S.P., Bailey, D.A., and Bitz, C.M., 2020: Antarctic sea ice area in CMIP6, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL086729.
  • Brennan, M.K., Hakim, G.J., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2020: Arctic sea ice variability during the Instrumental Era, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL086843.
  • Bonan, D., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2020: Nonstationary teleconnection between the Pacific Ocean and Arctic sea ice, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2019GL085666.

2019

  • Roach, L.A., Bitz, C.M., Horvat, C. Dean, S.M., 2019: Advances in Modeling Interactions Between Sea Ice and Ocean Surface Waves, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, doi:10.1029/2019MS001836.
  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and Ding, Q., 2019: Tropical and mid-latitude impacts on seasonal polar predictability in the Community Earth System Model, Journal of Climate, 32, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0088.1
  • Shields, A.L., Bitz, C.M., and Palubski, I, 2019: Energy Budgets for Terrestrial Extrasolar Planets. Astrophysical Journal Letters, 884. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/ab44ce
  • Horvat, C., Roach, L.A., Tilling, R., Bitz, C.M., Fox-Kemper, B., Guider, C., Hill, K., Ridout, A., Shepherd, A., 2019: Estimating the sea ice floe size distribution using satellite altimetry: theory, climatology, and model comparison. The Cryosphere, 13, doi:10.5194/tc-13-2869-2019.
  • Wayand, N., Bitz, C.M., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2019: A Year-Round Subseasonal-To-Seasonal Sea Ice Prediction Portal, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, doi:10.1029/2018GL081565.
  • Ding, Q., Schweiger, A., L`Heureux, M., Steig, E.J., Battisti, D.S., Johnson, N.C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Po-Chedley, S., Zhang, Q., Harnos, K. and Bushuk, M., 2019: Fingerprints of internal drivers of Arctic sea ice loss in observations and model simulations. Nature Geoscience, 12, doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0256-8.
  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and Bushuk, M., 2019: Robustness of Arctic sea-ice predictability in GCMs, 2019, Climate Dynamics, 52, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4461-3.
  • Randall, D.A., C.M. Bitz, G. Danabasoglu, S. Denning, P. Gent, A. Gettelman, S. Griffies, P. Lynch, H. Morrison, R. Pincus, and J. Thuburn, 2019: 100 years of Earth System Model development, Meteorological Monographs, doi:10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-18-0018.1.
  • Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, C.T.Y. Chung, M.M. Holland, A. DuVivier, L. Thompson, D. Yang, and C.M. Bitz, 2019: Sustained ocean changes contributed to sudden Antarctic sea ice retreat in late 2016, Nature Communications, 10, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-07865-9.

Select Reports and Other Publications

  • Bertram, M., L. Thompson, J. Murray, C. Bretherton, and C.M. Bitz, 2019: Preparing Graduate Students for 21st Century Climate Conversations, Eos.
  • Check out CC's 2018 New York Times op-ed about Arctic warming: Hot Times in the Arctic. March 14, 2018.
  • CC was a contributing author for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report.


    • A full list of CC's publications can be found here.



    A full list of Ed's publications can be found here.